Bucks vs Grizzlies prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA picks, April 7 best bets by proven model

The Memphis Grizzlies can clinch the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference with a victory on Friday. Memphis is 50-30 overall all season, and the Grizzlies visit the Fiserv Forum to face the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are locked in the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference, and Milwaukee is 58-22 overall and 32-8 at home this season. Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee), Jrue Holiday (rest), Brook Lopez (rest), Khris Middleton (knee), Pat Connaughton (ankle) and Grayson Allen (ankle) are out for Milwaukee. Steven Adams (knee), Brandon Clarke (Achilles), Jake LaRavia (calf) and Ziaire Williams (foot/ankle) are out for Memphis, with Santi Aldama (elbow) listed as questionable.

Tipoff is at 8 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Caesars Sportsbook lists Memphis as the 7-point road favorite, while the plus/minus, or total number of runs Vegas thinks to score, is 228 in the latest Grizzlies vs. Bucks odds. Before you lock in the Bucks vs Grizzlies picks, you’ll want to see NBA predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has generated more than $10,000 in player profits from $100 on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The supermodel enters the final week of the 2022-23 NBA regular season with a stunning 71-36 over all NBA top picks this season, netting over $3,000. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set his sights on Bucks vs. Grizzlies and has just locked in his NBA picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are the NBA lines and trends for Grizzlies vs. Bucks:

  • Grizzlies vs. Bucks Spread: Grizzlies -7
  • Grizzlies vs. Bucks over/under: 228 points
  • Grizzlies vs. Bucks money line: Grizzlies -305, Bucks +240
  • Memphis: Grizzlies are 13-25-1 ATS in road games
  • Milwaukee: Bucks are 23-15-2 ATS in home games
  • Grizzlies vs. Bucks pick: See the picks on SportsLine

Featured Game | Milwaukee Bucks vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Memphis has a pair of exceptional players to lean on against an understaffed Milwaukee team. The Grizzlies are led by Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr., with Morant averaging 26.4 points, 8.1 assists and 5.9 rebounds per game this season. Jackson Jr. is a contender for NBA Defensive Player of the Year honors, and he’s averaging 29.3 points and 8.0 rebounds per game over the past three contests.

This duo leads an offense that is scoring well over 1.14 points per possession this season, and Memphis leads the NBA with 58.4 points in the paint per game, putting steady pressure on the rim. The Grizzlies are in the top three in the league with 17.9 quick break points per game, and Memphis is a top six team in offensive rebound rate (30.3%) and second chance points (15.5 per game). Memphis is also in the top quartile of the league in turnover rate, committing a giveaway on just 13.4% of possessions, and Milwaukee is last in defensive turnover creation.

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee’s defense is formidable, forming the foundation for the team’s tremendous success this season. The Bucks are allowing just 110.4 points per 100 possessions, one of the top four in the NBA in overall defensive efficiency. Milwaukee leads the league in 2-point percentage allowed (51.2%), and the Bucks are in the top three in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed (45.4%) and free throw prevention (21 ,1 attempts allowed per game).

The Bucks are giving just 23.7 assists per game, a top-five rating in the league, and Milwaukee effectively prevent transition opportunities by allowing just 12.7 quick break points per game. The Bucks also have clear advantages on offense, including a prolific 3-point offense, and Milwaukee could benefit in a close game from the reality that Memphis is last in the NBA in free throw accuracy, shooting just 73.3. % of attempts.

How to make Grizzlies vs. Bucks picks

SportsLine’s model looks at the total, projecting the teams to combine for 229 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap hits in more than 50% of the simulations. You can only get the pick on SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. Grizzlies? And which side of the gap hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you should jump on, all from the model who crushed his NBA picks, and find out.

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