Bulls vs Bucks prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA picks, April 5 best bets by proven model

The Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls face off in a Central Division matchup on Wednesday night. The Bucks are 31-8 at home this season and aim to clinch the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference. The Bulls are in the middle of the playoff race with a 17-22 road record. Both teams play the second night of a straight set, with Milwaukee returning from a road game against Washington and Chicago traveling after a home game against Atlanta.

Tipping is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bucks as 6.5-point favorites, while the plus/minus, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will score, is 229 in the latest Bulls vs. Bucks odds. Before you make Bucks vs Bulls picks, you’ll want to see NBA predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has generated more than $10,000 in player profits from $100 on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The supermodel enters the final week of the 2022-23 NBA regular season with a stunning 71-36 over all NBA top picks this season, netting over $3,000. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set his sights on Bulls vs. Bucks and has just locked in his NBA picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are the NBA lines and trends for Bucks vs. Bulls:

  • Spread Bulls vs Bucks: Bucks -6.5
  • Bulls vs. Bucks over/under: 229 points
  • Money line Bulls vs Bucks: Bucks -260, Bulls +210
  • CHI: Bulls are 6-7-1 ATS with no rest
  • MIL: Bucks are 9-2-1 ATS with no rest
  • Bulls vs. Bucks pick: See the picks on SportsLine

Featured game | Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls

Why the Bulls can cover

Although Milwaukee has an impressive profile throughout the season, Chicago has the advantage in the series this season so far. The Bulls also have clearly positive attributes on both offense and defense. Chicago is in the top five in the NBA in field goal percentage (49%) and free throw percentage (81%) on offense, with the Bulls committing a turnover on less than 14% of possessions. Milwaukee is the worst team in the NBA to create turnovers on defense, including a last-five mark in steals.

On the other end, the Bulls are firmly in the NBA’s top 10 in defensive ratings, and Chicago has top-10 ratings in a myriad of categories. This includes field goal percentage allowed, free throw attempts allowed, turnovers created, runs allowed in the paint, quick break point allowed, and steals per game. Milwaukee is in the NBA’s bottom five in offensive free throw percentage, and the Bucks are struggling to hit a below-average rating on ball safety.

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee has been a great home team this season, giving the Bucks a big advantage with both teams on the second straight night with a trip. The Bucks are 31-8 at the Fiserv Forum, including 15 wins in their last 18 home games. Milwaukee outscores opponents by 6.6 points per 100 possessions at home, and Chicago is just 17-22 behind the United Center this season. From there, Milwaukee has an elite defense, ranking in the top five in a myriad of categories, and the Bucks have obvious strengths on offense.

The Bucks are in the NBA’s top five in 3-pointers, making more than 14 triples per game, while Chicago ranks dead last in 3-pointers per game. The Bucks are also shooting 56% from inside the arc, a league top 10, and Milwaukee is above the NBA average with more than 25 assists per game and a higher offensive rebound rate. at 28%. While Chicago struggles for a bottom-10 offense that includes a low offensive rebound rate and free throw creation issues, Milwaukee has the advantage at the margins.

How to Make Bucks vs. Bulls Picks

SportsLine’s model looks at the total, projecting the teams to combine for 230 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap hits in more than 50% of the simulations. You can only get the pick on SportsLine.

So who wins Bulls versus Bucks? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you should jump on, all from the model who crushed his NBA picks, and find out.

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